IDC reported in its press release recently that “IDC expects worldwide PC shipments to grow just 3.8% in 2009 with shipment value falling by 5.3%. This is considerably slower than second quarter projections of 13.7% growth in units and 4.5% in shipment value. The outlook for full year 2008 and 2010 have each been lowered a couple percent to 12.4% and 10.9%, respectively, with growth above 12% for 2011 and 2012.”
Though the ongoing 2008 is not going to be hit severely by this slump, as it has witnessed a growth of 12.4%, a close look on the IDC's market prediction says that sales would be lowest in 2009 in last seven years. According the report, the US PC market will see a dip of 2.9% while the global PC market will crash down to a growth rate of 3.8% from last year's 12.4%.
However, 2010 and its following years will bring some relief to the PC market holders. The PC sales in the US will see a slight growth of 2.4%, 4.4% and 4.6% in 2010, 11 and in 2012 respectively. Amazingly, the global story of PC sales will be fascinating, comparing to the US, in those years. It will see a growth of 10.9%, 12.6% and 12.9% in those years respectively.
Unfortunately, the desktop market would be the worst sufferer. The desktop sale, in the US, will hit some erratic lows of 7.0%, 12.9% and 7.8% in 2008, 2009 and in 2010 respectively. However, the global desktop sale will surge by 6.7% in 2009. Fortunately, the reports says that desktop sales will recover from that slump gradually after 2009, gloally.
Much to the relief, the other segments of the PC world such as netbooks and laptops will remain unaffected by this financial crash. IDC expects a growth of 15.6%, 6.7% and 10.7% in 2008, 2009 and in 2010 respectively, in the US. The global trend is more than satisfying with a growth rate of 35.1%, 15.2% and 19.5% in those three years.